2020 election polls live: Latest Trump and Biden odds as president insists all

The new poll shows the former vice president and Mr Trump tied at 47 per cent each, with under two weeks to go until 3 November’s election.

President Trump won Texas by nine points in 2016 when he faced Hillary Clinton.

The poll also shows that in the state’s Senate race, the Republican incumbent, John Cornyn holds a six point lead over Democratic challenger MJ Hegar.

Last moth Ms Hegar trailed Mr Cornyn by eight points in the same poll.

The New York Times/Siena College Poll shows President Trump leading Democratic challenger Joe Biden by 48 to 41 per cent in Kansas.

The poll also shows Republican Roger Marshall leading Democrat Barbara Bollier by 46 to 42 per cent in the state’s Senate race.

Mr Trump won Kansas by more than 20 points in 2016.

Democratic candidate Mark Kelly leads Republican incumbent Martha McSally in Arizona, 51  to 44 per cent. In their previous poll, Mr Kelly had a lead of 11 points.  It was conducted between 14 to 21 October.

In Michigan, Democratic incumbent Gary Peters leads Republican challenger John James, 50 to 45 per cent. Mr Peters led Mr James by eight points in the same poll a week before.  It was conducted between 14 to 20 October.

In North Carolina, Democratic challenger Cal Cunningham  is tied with Republican incumbent Thom Tillis. The poll a week before showed Tillis in a four point lead. It was conducted between 14 to 20 October.

Morning Consult poll gives Biden big leads in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Minnesota and narrow victory in Texas

Those are all states won by Trump four years ago.

Meanwhile, CNN sees Biden winning Florida.

White voters swept Trump to power in 2016 – now they’re the reason he’s going to lose

It’s fair to say that no presidential candidate has gone in more for the white voter than Donald Trump. 

His candidacy was born out the birther movement against President Obama’s citizenship. 

He’s downplayed America’s history of slavery, threatened 10 years in prison for vandalising Confederate monuments, attacked America’s Black Lives Matter movement and even refused to quickly disavow white supremacists.

But here’s the irony: His biggest problem in his quest for reelection, if the best of the recent polls are to be believed, is a historic collapse in winning the support of the white voter.

Michael Salfino has more.

Trump says polls Fox News polls ‘totally FAKE’

Donald Trump has claimed to be “leading in all of the states mentioned” in the latest Fox News  poll, which shows him trailing Joe Biden in three states he won four years ago.

According to the poll, Biden was 12 points ahead in Michigan (52-40 per cent), five points ahead in Pennsylvania (50-45 per cent) and 5 points ahead in  Wisconsin (49-44 per cent).

Trump, meanwhile, has a slim three point lead in Ohio (45-48 per cent), which he won by eight percentage points in 2016.

The poll, like many others at this stage, point to tight races in a swathe of states that are expected to deliver either candidate the presidency after 3 November.

If the president is right about one thing, it’s that we’ll all “soon see” the results. 

Biden’s transition preparation

If Joe Biden defeats President Donald Trump next month, he’ll quickly face a new challenge: standing up a new administration to lead a divided nation through a series of historic crises.

After making Trump’s handling of the coronavirus pandemic a centrepiece of his campaign, Biden will have to show that his team can better handle the public health crisis.