KYIV, Ukraine — Russian forces are engaged in “mopping up” operations to clear the remaining Ukrainian soldiers from the ruins of Bakhmut, a senior Ukrainian official said on Monday, as Kyiv’s military commanders seek to shift the focus from their apparent loss of the city to the battle for its outskirts.
The commander of Ukraine’s ground forces, Gen. Oleksandr Syrsky, conceded over the weekend that only a small contingent of Ukrainian soldiers is now inside Bakhmut, a tacit acknowledgment that Russia had prevailed in its nearly yearlong campaign to seize the city. General Syrsky said those few troops would continue defending their ground in order to provide “opportunities to enter the city in case of a change of circumstances.”
The comments signaled a shift in how Ukraine is portraying the war’s deadliest campaign as Russia claims its first significant battlefield success since last summer. For months, even as its hold on Bakhmut shrunk to a few western blocks, Ukraine would emphasize fierce fighting to keep the Russians from seizing the city. Officials now appear to be acknowledging that their focus is changing from defending Bakhmut to making it difficult for Russians to hold it.
While many of Kyiv’s battlefield claims could not be verified, it is clear that Ukrainian forces have made minor gains in recent weeks to the north and south of Bakhmut, breaking through a Russian defensive position in a key battle that started on May 6.
Speaking during a visit to Ukrainian soldiers on the eastern front on Sunday, General Syrsky claimed on Sunday that Ukrainian forces were continuing to make advances in the suburbs of Bakhmut and were “close to tactically encircling the city.” But the Ukrainian military did not provide details about where it was advancing.
Territory reclaimed
by Ukraine since
May 10
Approximate
city boundary
Territory reclaimed
by Ukraine since
May 10
Approximate
city boundary
Territory reclaimed
by Ukraine since
May 10
Approximate
city boundary
Territory reclaimed
by Ukraine since
May 10
Approximate
city boundary
On Monday, Maj. Rodion Kudriashov, a commander in the Ukrainian 3rd Assault Brigade, said the Ukrainians continued to make small but important gains around the city.
“We are trying to feel the enemy’s weak spots and gradually, step by step, we are trying to squeeze him out, occupying advantageous positions for us, taking the initiative,” he said in an interview with the Ukrainian broadcaster RBC-Ukraine.
Some analysts said the Ukrainian claims appeared to be an effort to put a gloss on the setback in Bakhmut.
“Talks about tactical encirclement are premature and probably reflect a hasty response to the city’s fall,” Konrad Muzyka, a defense analyst for Rochan Consulting, wrote on Monday.
That does not mean, however, that Russia’s grip on the city is assured. A great deal could depend on the plans of the mercurial and bombastic head of Russia’s Wagner mercenary group, Yevgeny Prigozhin, whose fighters spearheaded the Russian assault on Bakhmut. Hours after declaring “victory” over the weekend, Mr. Prigozhin said he would withdraw his fighters beginning on Thursday.
“From June 1, not a single Wagner PMC fighter will be at the forefront until we undergo re-formation, re-equipment and additional training,” he said.
Withdrawing forces from an active front is no simple task, and could leave Russia vulnerable to attacks from Ukrainian troops on high ground on the city’s outskirts. Given the widely reported tensions between Wagner and Russia’s military leadership, and communication problems within the Russian ranks, analysts say Ukraine will be watching for fissures to exploit.
Even if Mr. Prigozhin does not pull his fighters out now, military analysts noted that Russia will face challenges controlling Bakhmut, especially with Ukrainian forces preparing a counteroffensive that could escalate fighting along other parts of the 600-mile-long front line.
“Russian forces will likely need additional reinforcements to hold Bakhmut city and its flanks at the expense of operations in other directions,” the Institute for the Study of War wrote in its latest analysis on…
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