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Is the Market Following Fundamentals?


Most readers would already be aware that Rieter Holding’s (VTX:RIEN) stock increased significantly by 51% over the past three months. Given the company’s impressive performance, we decided to study its financial indicators more closely as a company’s financial health over the long-term usually dictates market outcomes. Specifically, we decided to study Rieter Holding’s ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company’s management is utilizing the company’s capital. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company’s shareholders.

View our latest analysis for Rieter Holding

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders’ Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Rieter Holding is:

20% = CHF74m ÷ CHF377m (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

The ‘return’ is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every CHF1 of its shareholder’s investments, the company generates a profit of CHF0.20.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or “retains” for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

A Side By Side comparison of Rieter Holding’s Earnings Growth And 20% ROE

To start with, Rieter Holding’s ROE looks acceptable. Further, the company’s ROE is similar to the industry average of 18%. This probably goes some way in explaining Rieter Holding’s moderate 18% growth over the past five years amongst other factors.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Rieter Holding’s growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 8.1% in the same period, which is great to see.

past-earnings-growth

past-earnings-growth

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock’s future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Rieter Holding is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Rieter Holding Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

While Rieter Holding has a three-year median payout ratio of 56% (which means it retains 44% of profits), the company has still seen a fair bit of earnings growth in the past, meaning that its high payout ratio hasn’t hampered its ability to grow.

Moreover, Rieter Holding is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Upon studying the latest analysts’ consensus data, we found that the company’s future payout ratio is expected to drop to 33% over the next three years. Regardless, the future ROE for Rieter Holding is predicted to decline to 14% despite the anticipated decrease in the payout ratio. We reckon that there could probably be other factors that could be driving the forseen decline in the company’s ROE.

Summary

On the whole, we feel that Rieter Holding’s performance has been quite good. In particular, its high ROE is quite noteworthy and also the probable explanation behind its considerable earnings growth. Yet, the company is retaining a small portion of its profits. Which means that the company has been able to grow its earnings in spite of it, so that’s not too bad. That being so, according to the latest industry analyst forecasts, the company’s earnings are expected to shrink in the future. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company’s fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst’s forecasts page for the company.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your…



Read More: Is the Market Following Fundamentals?

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