Does Gem Diamonds (LON:GEMD) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway’s Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says ‘The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.’ So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Gem Diamonds Limited (LON:GEMD) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of ‘creative destruction’ where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Gem Diamonds

How Much Debt Does Gem Diamonds Carry?

As you can see below, Gem Diamonds had US$8.91m of debt at June 2023, down from US$11.9m a year prior. However, it does have US$7.35m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$1.56m.

How Healthy Is Gem Diamonds’ Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Gem Diamonds had liabilities of US$21.4m due within a year, and liabilities of US$105.4m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$7.35m as well as receivables valued at US$5.28m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$114.2m.

This deficit casts a shadow over the US$22.0m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we’d watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Gem Diamonds would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

We measure a company’s debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

With net debt at just 0.06 times EBITDA, it seems Gem Diamonds only uses a little bit of leverage. Although with EBIT only covering interest expenses 6.9 times over, the company is truly paying for borrowing. It is just as well that Gem Diamonds’s load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 30% over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Gem Diamonds’s ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you’re focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it’s worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Gem Diamonds recorded free cash flow of 37% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we’d expect. That’s not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

To be frank both Gem Diamonds’s EBIT growth rate and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it’s pretty decent at managing its debt, based on its EBITDA,; that’s encouraging. We’re quite clear that we consider Gem Diamonds to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. For this reason we’re pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. There’s no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We’ve identified 2 warning signs with Gem Diamonds (at least 1 which is a bit unpleasant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course, if you’re the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don’t hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.